So based on what i’m seeing..I’m going to go out on a limb and say that the race isn’t over..it will continue Hillary isn’t going to give up an inch after winning Ohio and Rhode Island and Obama isn’t going anywhere either after adding Texas and Vermont to his list..
So it’s on to a caucus in Wyoming on March 8th, a primary in Mississippi on March 11th and a primary in Pennsylvania on April 22!
I must say that after tonight’s results I really do not see Hillary Clinton winning the democratic nomination.
How can she?
How can she retool her national message of experience to compete with Obama’s universal message of hope?
How can she compete with the droves of people young, old, black, white, men, women, rich, poor, republican and democrat that are flocking to Obama’s campaign? She has women and only barely..
How can she rest her hopes on Texas, Ohio and Pennsylvania does she think these states will help her to top Obama? Isn’t this a lot like putting all your eggs in one basket just like the ultimate loser Rudy Giuiliani? She will do just that and who knows she could win all three and ultimately the nomination but how will she do it?
Will she turn to Bill and ask him to step up his attacks on Obama or will she do it herself?
Will she try to best Obama in the debates?
Will she go after Mccain more to show that it’s the two of them while at the same time sidelining Obama?
Will she step up her advertising in the three remaining big states for her Texas, Ohio and Pennsylvania?
Is she going to lean even harder on the remaining uncommitted super delegates and force many of them to make a choice before the convention?
And don’t forget about money..if you’re going to want a favor from Hillary come ’09 you’re going to have to pony up more dough now or you’re never, ever going to hear from the Clintons again.
So, you can bet your bottom dollar that Clinton is going to do all of these things and then some all I can say is the next three weeks are going to be extremely, extremely interesting cause Clinton isn’t going down without a fight and if she and her staff can pull of a convincing win on March 4th in Texas and Ohio after a slew of losses this month it will be one for the record books and I’m sure Hillary is saying to herself right now, ” Too bad bad Karl Rove is a Republican..”
Today we talk about the the Bradley effect when discussing African American candidates in the future we will be talking about the Obama phenomenon when discussing candidates of any race or gender who defy expectations and generate momentum in non traditional areas!
February 5th was indeed a historical day.
Now, Obama did not take Hillary Clinton down (he got 841 and she got about 837) but with his wins and delegate splits he was saying to her ”I’m not going anywhere!” and that this race is going down to the wire.
But what is the real story? To me, it’s WHERE Obama won and with WHOM.
He won in Colorado, Utah, Missouri, Idaho, Kansas, Minnesota and North Dakota! He won in NORTH DAKOTA!!!
Now, ten years ago if you told me that there would be a black presidential candidate in my lifetime winning primaries and caucuses in these states I would have laughed and vehemenetly disagreed with you while secretly concealing in my heart the desire and hope of it being true.
Today Obama won these states and he closed the gap between him and Hillary when it comes to white voters and women. Obama has shown that Hillary does not have a monopoly over these demographic groups and that his message is making in roads with these voters like it should.
As a man should not be ‘judged by the color of their skin but by the content of their character’ and today we saw yet another step in the direction of that finally being realised.
Neither candidate has a clear advantage but if Obama fails to get the nomination the effect of this day will still resonate with potential non-traditional political candidates because Obama has shown how it can be done and more importantly than that we are starting to see a generational shift where race and gender are viewed quite differently.
This election will be not be determined by that generation exclusively but it certainly wouldn’t be decided without them.
You see, I know that Obama is the candidate of choice for my generation however if he fails to become the nominee it will be due to OUR work, OUR perserverence and OUR selection of his opponent and from this time onward we, today’s youth vote will finally be given our due recognition.
And with Obama’s victories today still fresh in the minds of all let it be known that, if he wins the nomination and goes on to become the president of the United States, that we the members of Generation X and Generation Y, those raised on Sesame Street and Nintendo, those who have never experienced life without computers, punk rock or rap music have shown that we are tuned in and that we have no intention whatsoever of tuning out and we will fight up until our last breath to fully realize the dreams of our parents and grandparents and thus return this country to the heights of greatness it so rightly deserves!
Hillary isn’t going to let anyone ‘swift boat’ America, I know for sure she’ll be able to handle the Republicans on that end hell she was prepared to swift boat Obama wasn’t she?
She’s going to do a whole lot for everybody..poor people, veterans, women, children..
And of course she’s thanking women for her success and now she’s congratulating Obama on his successes of course she’s going to do that we wouldn’t expect anything less from these BFF would you?
She shouldn’t be reading a prepared speech like that..it sound so umm ‘prepared’ you know?
Hillary said a whole lot of nothing like most candidates when they give these ‘victory speeches’…
Will it be, for the Democrats Obama or the Clintons?
And the Republicans, will it Mccain or Romney?
And how much of a spoiler will Huckabee be? Man.. I’m so glad to see that fake boy Romney is getting his hat handed to him..love it..LOVE IT!!!
Hmm..I guess we have to stay tuned..I know I’m going to be up all night watching these results..I can’t wait to see and compare the delegate split between Clinton and Obama because as we all know she wouldn’t be taking all of them and that’s going to be the key to an Obama nomination…
I’m not even going to try to live blog the results..I’m just going to give a running analysis of my thoughts so far on anything I find interesting..
You know I hate to see politicians get down and dirty with each other, it’s tacky and in some cases it can be quite demoralizing but I must admit that it was really, really interesting to listen to the dirty words that some Republicans use to diss each other liberal and flip flopper..lol..
Sometimes politics can be so petty…
Anyway, as for the Republican primary today I think Mccain will emerge as the winner tonight but that Romney will not concede an inch to him instead he’s going to go on to Super Tuesday and fight Mccain every step of the way only to be beaten down by the tough old coot (is that right?) Mccain..
As for Giuliani he’s done. He soooooooo over..
His strategy has failed, by bypassing somewhat Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina to focus on Florida, as we all knew it would but I think that his failings have more to do with him and his positions.
Giuliani led in Republican national polls before this year’s primaries and national caucuses because of name recognition. He wasn’t I think adequately prepared for the scrutiny that comes with being a candidate for office, constant searching into his background by journalists for the ‘gotcha’ story, he wasn’t prepared to debate and express opinions on topics other than terrorism and national security and he wasn’t able to reincarnate himself to be something bigger than just the mayor of New York City.
In addition I think his arrogance and belief once again that he was entitled to the nomination, just like another candidate in the other party, all contributed to his failure.
N.B..As usual i’ll be live blogging the results tonight hope you join me..please join me..lol..
