According to The Des Moines Register Obama and Huckabee are leading Clinton and Romney respectively.
And Edwards, on the democratic side, is close third.
But I really do believe that because Edwards has basically been campaigning in Iowa for the past 4 years that gives him an advantage over the other three democratic candidates and this should not be discounted.
Think about it this way if you were an Iowan the two other democratic candidates could be viewed as johnny-come-latelies while Edwards is seen as a familiar face somebody who has been working for and wants to work for you, the people of Iowa so when you go into that caucus room you will be thinking about change, passion, idealism but ultimately the person who resonates most and has left a lasting impression and who believe worked the hardest to convince you that they would be the best person for the job as president is the person that could ultimately win.
And I believe Edwards has done that for Iowans.
According to the NY times ‘Edwards has since 2005 spent more than 100 days in Iowa’ and he has ‘fiercely courted rural voters in particular, visiting all 99 counties — twice’.
John Edwards has been working extremely to hard to garner Iowans votes and I do think it will ultimately pay off tomorrow.
Although the polls have either Clinton or Obama in the lead I think Edwards is the practical choice to practical Iowa Democratic voters. He says all the right things, he is white (although nobody wants to say that..I will..) and he makes you believe that he actually will change things in Wahsington. So he’s all things to everybody in the Democratic party and you do need to be that if you’re going to be a poltician and I believe that in any other election year Edwards would have had the nomination locked up.
However, this time it’s different and although Obama or Clinton could ultimately become the party’s nominee Iowa Democrats see Edwards as their choice because his platform core issues resonate with them and also he’s the one that could win a general election. Practicality.
Their hearts might be with Obama or Clinton but their minds and their votes will go with Edwards.
As far as the Republican goes I see Huckabee winning all the way because Huckabee embodies all that Iowa republicans stand for he’s on the right side of all the issues they care about and although some of his statements on immigration might be a bit too ‘compasssionate’ for their liking, he’s a pastor therefore he get’s a pass on that regards.
Romney is a flip flopper i.e John Kerry..lol and even though I’m willing to say his money and machinery might ultimately pay off in the end I believe Huckabee’s likeablity, his religion and his position on all the core issues will push him across the finish line.
But hey I’m known to be wrong check back here tomorrow to see how wrong I am…